Giants vs. Patriots: Now That’s A Huge Spread, But Is It Warranted?

The New York Giants are getting zero respect from oddsmakers as they head into a Thursday Night Football matchup with the vaunted New England Patriots this week.

NJ online sportsbooks have posted huge lines for the latest Giants vs. Patriots game this Thursday, Oct. 10.

Of course, that may have more to do with the Patriots being 5-0 heading into the game than anything else.

Giants vs. Patriots NFL Week 6: Where things stand

The Giants dropped to 2-3 this week after a 28-10 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Rookie quarterback Daniel Jones came back down to earth to post his first loss in three starts. Jones went 21 for 38 for 182 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in the game.

What that stat line doesn’t say is that the Giants offensive line had difficulty protecting the young QB, giving up four sacks. Plus, the Giants defense was even more porous. They gave up more than 200 yards on the ground and 300 in the air.

In the meantime, the Patriots pummelled the lowly Washington Redskins 33-7 to stay undefeated. Legendary QB Tom Brady threw for another 348 yards and three TDs. Plus, running back Sony Michel put up 91 yards and a TD on just 16 carries.

The Pats defense was even more dominant. They held the otherwise terrible Redskins offense to under 150 yards on the ground and under 120 in the air.

Therefore, it’s really no surprise to see the defending Super Bowl champs as big favorites against a Giants team that finished with just five wins last year.

It’s just the size of the lines that seem shocking.

Giants vs. Patriots odds at NJ sportsbooks

Here’s a look at the current odds posted at three of the top NJ sports betting apps for the Giants vs. Patriots NFL Week 6 game on Thursday Night Football (updated on Oct. 10):

Giants vs. Patriots DraftKings FanDuel William Hill
Spread NE -16.5 NY +16.5 NE -16.5 NY +16.5 NE -16.5 NY +16.5
Over/Under 42.5 41.5 42.5
Moneyline NE -910 NY +700 NE -1250 NY +830 NE -1200 NY +750

First of all, what if Giants star running back Saquon Barkley returned for the game from the ankle injury he suffered in Week 3?

Barkley was projected to miss four to eight weeks. However, he told NFL Media’s Ian Rapoport and Kimberly Jones he thinks he’ll be able to play on Thursday. That scenario changed on Wednesday when it was reported he’d miss Thursday’s game, however.

Secondly, the Giants will be visitors in Foxborough, Mass. An underdog on the road against the undefeated Patriots makes sense, too.

Giants vs. Patriots history

But the Giants famously ended a Patriots unbeaten streak once upon a time. Even if it was more than a decade ago.

The 2007-08 Patriots finished the regular season 16-0, then rolled through the playoffs and into the Super Bowl. However, the Giants beat them 17-14 in Super Bowl XLII.

This week’s big lines also belie the entire history between the two NFL clubs. The Patriots and Giants have met 12 times and the series is tied at six wins each.

The teams are 3-3 in this millennium. Plus, all five games since 2007 have been decided by four points or less.

In fact, the last time the two teams met was a one-point win by the Patriots, 27-26 in 2015. The last game before that was Super Bowl XLVI. It marked a second Giants upset Super Bowl win over the Patriots 21-17.

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Will the Thursday Night Football lines move?

Sixteen points begins to look like an awful lot when you consider all that.

The Giants vs. Patriots spread may move by game time if the betting public looks at the historical data and gets behind the idea the game will be closer than oddsmakers think.

The moneyline odds at DraftKings, William Hill (Caesars) and FanDuel should definitely move as well.

Most sharp gamblers will be laying off the Patriots. That’s because the bet offers very little reward for the size of the risk. That should mean significantly more money bet on the underdog Giants.

Ultimately, that will force New Jersey sportsbooks to move the line to reduce exposure.

You might be as convinced as oddsmakers are that the Patriots are a lock to win the game outright this year. However, it’s the smart play to wait for the moneyline to come down before betting it.

You might also like the Giants in an upset. Therefore, locking it in at the massive opening moneyline is the way to go.

This has become a classic matchup between the NFL clubs that represent the East Coast’s two most populous regions.

To find out what happens with the Giants vs. Patriots game, tune into Thursday Night Football on FOX, the NFL Network, or Amazon Prime Video. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.

About the Author

Martin Derbyshire

In his over 10 years covering the US online poker, legal NJ online gambling, and land-based casino industries, Martin Derbyshire has worn the hats of award-winning journalist and video and film producer. He has logged countless miles reporting on the world of high stakes gambling.